Catastrophe Risks

In their latest update to their 2023 Atlantic hurricane season forecast, researchers from Colorado State University have increased their forecast and now call for an above-average hurricane season.The change is due to record warm sea surface temperatures in most of the tropical and subtropical Atlantic Ocean. Read More

Colorado State University researchers have slightly increased their forecast for 2023 Atlantic hurricane season activity and now predict a "near-average" season. The updated forecast—Colorado State's second forecast for the 2023 season—calls for 15 named storms, including 7 hurricanes, 3 of which will be major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher. Read More

Forecasters with the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) are predicting near-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic Ocean this year. The NOAA forecast calls for 12 to 17 named storms, of which 5 to 9 could become hurricanes, including 1 to 4 major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher. Read More

Researchers at North Carolina State University are predicting a normal Atlantic hurricane season this year, with 11 to 15 named storms forming in the Atlantic basin. The number of named storms predicted is at the higher end of long-term averages but at the lower end of more recent 30-year averages. Read More

The 2023 Atlantic basin hurricane season is expected to see a slightly below-average level of activity, researchers at Colorado State University (CSU) projected in their first 2023 Atlantic hurricane season forecast. The CSU researchers predicted 13 named storms, slightly below the average of 14.4 annually from 1992 to 2020. Read More